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US and Canada GHG reduction goals

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Hydrocarbon Engineering,

Despite their close economic, social and cultural ties, Canada and the US face different challenges to reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and are employing different approaches in their respective climate policies, according to a new report by IHS Markit, a leader in critical information, analytics and solutions.

While the two countries have chosen similar GHG reduction goals, differences in the nature of their economies and emissions sources are reflected in their climate policies. Policy efforts in the US are primarily focused on specific sectors, whereas in Canada more effort is now being placed on pricing carbon.

The report, entitled ‘The State of Canada and U.S. Climate Policy’, was produced by the IHS Oil Sands Dialogue. It reviews the GHG emissions profiles of both countries and the state of their current climate policies.

“How to address climate change has become a defining question of the 21st century and there has been increased policy momentum in both Canada and the US over the past year,” said Kevin Birn, Director for IHS Energy and Head of the IHS Oil Sands Dialogue. “While the two countries maintain similar policy approaches in several areas, the reality is that each country is also starting to develop its own distinct climate policy portfolio based on the specific attributes of its economies and GHG emissions profiles. There is not a ‘one size fits all’ approach to reducing emissions.”

Differences in the makeup of the countries’ respective power sectors are a primary example of where their approaches diverge. US electric power generation, particularly from coal, is the country’s single largest GHG emitter, accounting for 30% of US total emissions. Access to abundant and affordable shale gas, which emits half the amount of GHG compared to coal, and the declining cost of renewables provide the US with a relatively low cost opportunity to reduce power sector, and thus national, emissions.

In contrast, about 80% of Canada’s power generation sector is already zero emitting, mainly due to the high share of hydroelectric power. The industrial sector is Canada’s single largest emitter, representing 44% of total emissions. This sector includes oil and gas production and refining which account for 25% of Canada’s total emissions.

The Canadian oilsands, which have been the subject of heightened interest due to their relatively higher GHG intensity compared to some other crude types, represent 9% of the country’s emissions. However, the government of Alberta has instituted a cap on emissions – limiting future GHG emissions growth from the oilsands.

In the absence of an emissions intensive power sector, Canada is looking elsewhere to reduce GHG emissions, the report says. Various models of carbon pricing are advancing across Canada. The federal government has announced its intention to implement a harmonised pan-Canadian price for carbon by the end of this year. Separately, various carbon pricing mechanisms at the provincial level could cover up to two-thirds of Canada’s total emissions in 2017, the report says.

The move towards carbon pricing provides a unique set of challenges for Canada, which historically has sought to align its policies closely with the US (its largest trading partner) over concerns that unilateral action could hinder industrial competiveness, the report says.

This contrasts with regulation focused on electrical power generation, for instance, which is more insulated from competitiveness concerns because of technical and economic limitations to large scale power transmission.

“Unilateral climate policy can add costs to domestic export dependent firms that their competitors may not face,” said Hossein Safaei, Associate Director for IHS Energy. “Firms that compete globally may physically relocate or lose out to their competitors. This weighs heavily given Canada’s close trading relationship with the US and its large oil and gas sector which competes globally and with US firms for investment, labour and markets.”

Adapted from press release by Francesca Brindle

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