American Chemistry Council: Global chemical production looks positive

The American Chemistry Council (ACC) released its Global Chemical Production Regional Index (Global CPRI) for February with the headline index rising 0.2% on a three month moving average (3MMA) basis. This follows a 0.4% gain in January and a strong 4Q15. During February, chemical production rose in North America, Western Europe, and Asia Pacific; was flat in Africa and the Middle East, and fell in Latin America and Central and Eastern Europe. The Global CPRI was up 3.4% year over year (Y/Y) on a 3MMA basis and stood at 110.1% of its average 2012 levels in February.

During February, capacity utilisation in the global business of chemistry slipped slightly to 81.6%. This is off from 81.9% last February and is still below the long term (1987 - 2015) average of 89.2%. All segments of the business of chemistry have improved from the trough of the recession with the most pronounced recovery having occurred in the cyclical segments. During February, results were positive, with production of manufactured fibres, synthetic rubber, inorganic chemicals, and coatings as weak segments. Considering Y/Y comparisons, chemical production increased in every category. Growth was strongest in plastic resins followed by pharmaceuticals, consumer products, manufactured fibres, and other specialties. Other segments featured more modest year earlier comparisons.

ACC's Global CPRI measures the production volume of the business of chemistry for 33 key nations, sub-regions, and regions, all aggregated to the world total. The index is comparable to the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) production indices and features a similar base year where 2012 = 100. This index is developed from government industrial production indices for chemicals from over 65 nations accounting for about 98% of the total global business of chemistry. This data are the only timely source of market trends for the global chemical industry and are comparable to the US CPRI data, a timely source of US regional chemical production.

Adapted from press release by Francesca Brindle

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